As most of you know, I wear two hats in the gaming
analysis world. There are some that
might see my two roles as being opposed to each other. Quite frankly, at first, so did I. Over the years, however, I realize that they
are more complementary than anything else.
On one hand, I analyze games already created and write about them, with
the goal being to educate the Player to become the best possible Player he can
be. On the other, I help invent
games. Some may think I do this using my
knowledge of how Players act to create games designed to trip them up. This simply is not the case. Even when working with inventors, I do my
best to steer the game in a direction that offers the highest paybacks
possible.
Let me be clear.
Games are created with a house edge.
If you consider that to be 'rigged', then there isn't much more to
discuss. No casino is going to
purposefully put a game on the floor that has a Player edge. The one and only exception, to the best of my
knowledge, is video poker, where there still remains some full-pay machines
that pay over 100%. However, as most of
these are at too low of a denomination to really do harm to the casino, they
are content to let the very few profit at the expense of the overwhelming
majority.
In the last several years, I have the pleasure of helping
to develop Mississippi Stud and Ultimate Texas Hold'em. These two games boast paybacks in the mid to
high 98% range and up. Part of the
reason they are able to do this is because they require intricate strategy in
order to achieve these theoretical paybacks.
This is also one of the reasons why video poker can offer such high
paybacks. To achieve these paybacks
require that a Player play using a robust strategy that most Players do not
bother to learn. Slot machines in
contrast offer absolutely no strategy.
As a result, the casinos cannot rely on human error for any part of
their profits and they must offer lower paybacks.
The same is true of sidebets for table games. For the most part, it has pained me when I
see the paybacks on sidebets. It is not
uncommon for them to be the mid 80% to low 90% range. Some, go even lower into the high 70's. Some sidebets, especially Progressives, offer
huge payouts for the Player and so Players are willing to trade this low
payback for the remote chance of the life-changing payout. Like slot machines, casinos must offer these
lower paybacks because the sidebets offer no strategy and they cannot rely on
any human error to drive profits. The
problem with attempting to offer sidebets with strategy is that the strategy
almost assuredly works against the basic strategy of the underlying game. This is a 'no-no' because the combined
payback will now be lower than the two separate paybacks AND it can require the
Player to learn some new hybrid strategy that may be more trouble than it is
worth.
Less than a year ago, one sidebet broke this model
completely. I've written about it
before, and I have to admit that it is the only sidebet that actually gets me
excited. On the one hand, it is
definitely a sidebet. On the other, it
is almost an entirely new game within a game.
Yet, if a Player chooses not to play it, it does not impact the base
game. Quite frankly, even if he does
choose to play it, it doesn't affect the base game. But, it does require learning a strategy for
the sidebet. The game is called House
Money , and it is a sidebet to blackjack.
The game is really quite simple. If you make the House Money sidebet, you will
get paid if the first two cards you are dealt for blackjack are a Suited AK, a
2-Card Straight Flush, a Pair or a Straight.
This works out to be about 21.5% of the time. The most common payouts are 9,4,3,1
respectively (although there are multiple paytables). Now, the fun begins. After you are paid for your sidebet, you have
the option to take all of your winnings from your sidebet (which includes the
original sidebet wager) and you can add it to your base blackjack wager. This is AFTER you have seen your two cards
and AFTER you have seen the Dealer's upcard.
So, if you're dealt a 10-J suited, you will win 4 to 1 for your
sidebet. Assuming you wagered $5, you
will now have the right to take the entire $25 (the $20 you won plus the $5
sidebet wager) and add it to your base blackjack wager.
In the case of the 10-J you would ALWAYS want to do
this. The Dealer will check for
blackjack prior to you making this additional wager, so you are not risking
your winnings if the Dealer has blackjack.
Imagine have a $5 wager on the base game and $5 on the sidebet when
dealt this hand. Dealer turns a 7 up and
then flips over a 10. Your $5 sidebet
becomes $25, which turns your base wager into a $30 wager. When you win this, you just won $50 for
being dealt a suited 10-J and winning the blackjack hand.
One strange fact about House Money is that the payback of
the sidebet actually goes UP with more decks.
This is because some of the winning hand are more frequent with more
decks. With 6 or 8 decks, House Money
pays 97+% and it makes absolutely NO IMPACT to the base game of blackjack. That said, it is imperative that you choose
to let your winnings ride (i.e. cap your wager) at the right times AND that you
play proper blackjack strategy. If you
are dealt a 5-6 against a 7 and choose not to cap your wager OR cap your wager
but then 'chicken out' and not Double Down (which requires doubling the ENTIRE
wager), then you will not achieve the 97+% payback.
Below is a matrix that shows the proper strategy for
House Money for 6 and 8 deck shoes when the Dealer hits a soft 17. There are some minor modifications if you are
playing with less shoes or if the Dealer sticks on all 17s. As for basic blackjack strategy, you can find
that almost anywhere on the internet or in a book on blackjack.
Hand
|
Dealer Upcard
|
|||||||||
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
A
|
|
A-2
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
2-3
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
Y
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
3-4
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
Y
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
4-5
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
5-6
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
6-7
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
7-8
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
8-9
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
9-10
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
10-J/J-Q/Q-K
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
K-A
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
2-2
|
N
|
N
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
3-3
|
N
|
N
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
4-4
|
N
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
5-5
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
6-6
|
N
|
N
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
7-7
|
N
|
N
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
8-8
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
9-9
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
N
|
N
|
N
|
10-10/JJ/QQ/KK
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
A-A
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y - Cap the wager N - Take the winnings
House Money can now be found in Las Vegas at the
following casinos - The Cannery, Fiesta Las Vegas, Green
Valley Ranch, Jerry's Nugget, Monte Carlo, Palace Station, The Palazzo, Santa
Fe Las Vegas, Sunset Station, Texas Station and The Venetian.
No comments:
Post a Comment